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NEW YORK, N.Y. - (BUSINESS WIRE) As President Obama continues his push for health care reform legislation and tackles the issue of jobs, his job ratings have been holding steady over the past few months. Currently, two in five U.S. adults (41%) give the job the president is doing a positive rating while 59% give it a negative rating. In January, almost the same numbers gave him positive ratings (40%) and negative ones (60%).

 

“How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?”

These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,320 adults surveyed online between March 1 and 8, 2010 by Harris Interactive.

Looking at political party, while it may not be too surprising that almost nine in ten Republicans (88%) give the president negative ratings, 61% of Independents and 30% of Democrats feel the same. In fact, among Democrats, only one in five (19%) would rate the job President Obama is doing as excellent.

There are also differences among generations. Baby Boomers (those aged 46-64) are President Obama’s “strongest” supporters as 54% give the president negative ratings followed by 57% of Echo Boomers (those aged 18-33). On the other hand, over two thirds (68%) of Matures (those aged 65 and older) give the president negative ratings as do 63% of Gen Xers (those aged 34-45).

Low point for Congress

Just one in ten Americans (10%) give Congress a positive rating for the overall job they are doing while 90% give them negative marks, with half (51%) saying they are doing a poor job – the lowest rating. This is down from the 16% in January who gave them positive ratings and is the lowest they have been for this Congress.

Democrats may be in control of Congress, but they cannot blame Republicans for this low number. While just 5% of Republicans and 8% of Independents give Congress positive marks, less than one in five Democrats (17%) give Congress a positive rating.

Another number that has moved down is the direction Americans think things in the country are going. After staying at 37% since November, this month the number of U.S. adults who believe things in the country are going in the right direction has dropped to 33% while 67% say things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track.

So What?

In eight months, voters will head to the polls in congressional elections. Besides the low job ratings they currently have, members of Congress also have one other concern. Only 4% of Matures currently give them positive ratings and three-quarters of them (73%) give them a poor rating. These are the people who are most likely to come out in November to vote. If this negativity holds, incumbents from both parties may find themselves in trouble.

         

TABLE 1

PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING - TREND

"How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?"

Base: All adults

           
  2009   2010
Mar.   April   May   June   Aug.   Sept.   Oct.   Nov.   Dec.   Jan.   Mar.
    %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %
POSITIVE     55   58   59   54   51   49   45   43   41   40   41
Excellent     17   18   17   14   11   11   10   9   7   9   9
Pretty good     38   40   42   39   39   38   35   33   33   31   32
NEGATIVE     45   42   41   46   49   51   55   57   59   60   59
Only fair     27   26   25   25   25   25   27   29   30   30   28
Poor     18   15   16   21   24   26   28   29   30   30   31

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

           
 

TABLE 2

PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING – BY PARTY

"How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?"

Base: All adults

               
  Total Political Party   Generation
  Rep.   Dem.   Ind.   Echo

Boomers

(18-33)

  Gen X

(34-45)

  Baby

Boomers

(46-64)

  Matures

(65+)

    %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %
POSITIVE     41   12   70   39   43   37   46   32
Excellent     9   3   19   5   7   8   13   7
Pretty good     32   10   51   33   37   29   33   26
NEGATIVE     59   88   30   61   57   63   54   68
Only fair     28   27   23   30   35   29   25   19
Poor     31   61   7   31   22   35   28   49

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

   
 

TABLE 3

CONGRESS’ JOB RATING

"How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?"

Base: All adults

               
      Total   Political Party   Generation
  Rep.   Dem.   Ind.   Echo

Boomers

(18-33)

  Gen X

(34-45)

  Baby

Boomers

(46-64)

  Matures

(65+)

    %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %
POSITIVE     10   5   17   8   16   12   7   4
Excellent     1   1   *   -   1   *   *   -
Pretty good     10   4   17   8   15   11   7   4
NEGATIVE     90   95   83   92   84   88   93   96
Only fair     39   29   49   37   51   40   37   23
Poor     51   66   34   55   33   48   56   73

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

                       
 

 

TABLE 4

CONGRESS’ OVERALL JOB RATING – TREND

"How would you rate the overall job the Congress is doing?"

Base: All adults

                     
  TREND     Positive*     Negative**
          %     %
2010       March     10     90
        Jan.     16     84
2009       Dec.     17     83
        Nov.     17     83
      Oct.     16     84
      Sept.     19     81
      Aug.     22     78
      June     25     75
      May     31     69
      April     29     71
      March     29     71
2008       October     10     86
        September     16     81
      August     18     77
      June     13     83
      February     20     76
2007       December     17     79
        October     20     77
      September     22     74
      April     27     69
      February     33     62
2006       September     24     73
        May     18     80
      February     25     71
      January     25     72

*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor.

Note: Prior to March, 2009, this question was asked by telephone.

                 
 

TABLE 5

RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACK

"Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are going in the right direction or
have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?"

Base: All adults

               
  TREND   Right Direction   Wrong Track
      %   %
2010     March   33   67
      January   37   63
2009     December   37   63
      November   37   63
    October   39   61
    September   42   58
    August   46   54
    June   43   57
    March   32   68
    January   19   72
2008     October   11   83
      February   23   69
2007     December   18   74
      February   29   62
2006     May   24   69
      February   32   59
2005     November   27   68
      January   46   48
2004     September   38   57
      June   35   59
2003     December   35   57
      June   44   51
2002     December   36   57
      June   46   48
2001     December   65   32
      June   43   52
2000     October   50   41
      June   40   51
1999     June   37   55
      March   47   45
1998     December   43   51
      June   48   44
1997     December   39   56
      April   36   55
1996     December   38   50
      June   29   64
1995     December   26   62
      June   24   65
1994     December   29   63
      June   28   65
1993     June   21   70
      March   39   50
1992     June   12   81
      January   20   75
1991     December   17   75
      January   58   32

Note: Prior to March, 2009 this question was asked via telephone

Methodology

This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States March 1 to 8, 2010 among 2,320 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words “margin of error” as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.

Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.

J37772
Q1205, 1215, 1220

The Harris Poll® #37, March 15, 2010
By Regina A. Corso, Director, The Harris Poll, Harris Interactive

About Harris Interactive

Harris Interactive is one of the world’s leading custom market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Serving clients in over 215 countries and territories through our North American, European, and Asian offices and a network of independent market research firms, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what’s next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.

©2010 Harris Interactive. All rights reserved.

 
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